It's That Time of Year Again: Predictions

David Card | December 01, 2005, 02:32 PM

Not mine (yet). But, if there is any doubt remaining that the consumer Internet (and the related stuff they used to call new media) is way more important than enterprise IT in terms of industry change and technological innovation...just look at Gartner's first batch of predictions.

Only one of them is huge, and it's about consumer telephony. (Though colleague Joe Laszlo reminds me that landlines have been declining for years.) As for the chance to prevent death, well, I'll just leave that one be.

Gartner's Six IT Trends:

- By 2008, 10 percent of companies will require employee-purchased notebooks.
- By 2010, 30 percent of U.S. homes will use only cellular or Internet telephony.
- The job market for IT specialists will shrink 40 percent by 2010.
- Business Process Outsourcing (BPO) service providers will capture $11 billion of insurance revenue by 2008.
- A 50 percent growth in healthcare software investment could enable clinicians to cut the level of preventable deaths in half by 2013.
- Through 2008, investigation of new technologies will slow as discretionary budgets divert to regulatory compliance.

Zzzzzzzzzzzz