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<title>JupiterResearch Analyst Weblogs - Media</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/toplevel/" />
<modified>2008-11-25T18:46:59Z</modified>
<tagline></tagline>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/toplevel//3</id>
<generator url="http://www.movabletype.org/" version="3.121">Movable Type</generator>
<copyright>Copyright (c) 2008, JupiterMedia Corporation</copyright>
<entry>
<title>No Beatles on iTunes Anytime Soon....enough already!</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/no_beatles_on_i.html" />
<modified>2008-11-25T18:46:59Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-25T18:46:59Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/mulligan//22.10344</id>
<created>2008-11-25T18:46:59Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Interesting comments from Paul McCartney on Billboard. Places the blame for delays with the Beatles being on iTunes firmly at the feet of Apple Corp and EMI. I know that the Beatles are a really big catch in terms of profile, but is this pre-occupation with a band that stopped...</summary>
<author>
<name>Mark Mulligan</name>

<email>mmulligan@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/">
<![CDATA[<p>Interesting comments from <a href="http://www.billboard.biz/bbbiz/content_display/industry/e3ia8abfc4edd03266abee49cc52dcb0c20">Paul McCartney on Billboard.</a>  Places the blame for delays with the Beatles being on iTunes firmly at the feet of Apple Corp and EMI.  I know that the Beatles are a really big catch in terms of profile, but is this pre-occupation with a band that stopped making music more than two decades before most teenagers were born, sending out the right message?  </p>

<p>The legitimate paid download market has not succeeded in fighting off illegal alternatives.  Nor does it show any signs of doing so anytime soon.  Hence the shift of focus towards free legal alternatives such as MySpace and Comes With Music (and before anyone tells me not to call CWM ‘free’, even Car Phone Warehouse stated it was ‘free’, and for that matter ‘unlimited’, on a TV ad this week).  </p>

<p>Perhaps the Beatles going digital is all that's left that’s interesting to write about the paid download sector now that the interesting stuff is happening elsewhere and that DRM-free is taking ludicrously long.  Whatever the reasons, if iTunes can eventually boast that it is ‘the place to download the Beatles legally online’ it draws further, unwelcome distance between itself and the more youth focused alternatives.  Sure, you could argue that this would represent smart segmentation of the online audience.  But it’s not in anyone’s interests that kids only download for free, no one’s interests except for those of the kids of course.</p>

<p><br />
And don't forget to join the 'Music as Free' debate at <a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/">Music Industry Blog</a></p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Cheapest Music Marketing Tie-In Ever!</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/archives/2008/11/cheapest_music.html" />
<modified>2008-11-21T03:39:42Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-21T03:39:42Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/card//4.10341</id>
<created>2008-11-21T03:39:42Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">PR folks at Dr Pepper swear this gimmick has nothing to do with Guns n&apos; Roses, Axl Rose, Irving Azoff, Front Line Management, or Universal Music/Geffen Records. The 17-years-in-the-making album drops on November 23 -- probably -- as a Best Buy exclusive, and Dr Pepper has 23 flavors. (Not counting...</summary>
<author>
<name>David Card</name>
<url>http://www.jup.com</url>
<email>dcard@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/">
<![CDATA[<p>PR folks at Dr Pepper swear this <a href="http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20081120/ap_on_en_mu/guns_n_roses_dr_pepper">gimmick</a> has nothing to do with Guns n' Roses, Axl Rose, Irving Azoff, Front Line Management, or Universal Music/Geffen Records.</p>

<p>The 17-years-in-the-making album drops on November 23 -- probably -- as a Best Buy exclusive, and Dr Pepper has 23 flavors. (Not counting prune.) You can <a href="http://www.myspace.com/gunsnroses">hear</a> "Chinese Democracy" early at MySpace.</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/music_mistakes.html" />
<modified>2008-11-20T19:22:06Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-20T19:22:06Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/mulligan//22.10339</id>
<created>2008-11-20T19:22:06Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Regular readers may be interested in following a short series of posts I’ve run on the MusicIndustryBlog called &apos;Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions&apos;. Each post takes a look at 10 issues concerning one aspect of ‘Music as Free’ Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions. Part 1: File Sharing Music Mistakes, Myths...</summary>
<author>
<name>Mark Mulligan</name>

<email>mmulligan@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/">
<![CDATA[<p>Regular readers may be interested in following a short series of posts I’ve run on the <a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/">MusicIndustryBlog</a> called 'Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions'.  Each post takes a look at 10 issues concerning one aspect of ‘Music as Free’</p>

<p><a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2008/11/18/music-mistakes-myths-and-misconceptions-part-1-file-sharing/">Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions. Part 1: File </a>Sharing</p>

<p><a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2008/11/19/music-mistakes-myths-and-misconceptions-part-2-ad-supported/">Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions. Part 2: Ad Supported</a></p>

<p><a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/2008/11/20/music-mistakes-myths-and-misconceptions-part-3-subsidized/">Music Mistakes, Myths and Misconceptions. Part 3: Subsidized</a><br />
</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Latest Zune Moves</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/archives/2008/11/latest_zune_mov.html" />
<modified>2008-11-20T13:54:28Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-20T13:54:28Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/card//4.10338</id>
<created>2008-11-20T13:54:28Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">Microsoft made a series of moves this week around its Zune device and service, including hardware price cuts ($10 below iPods), a new firmware release with bundled games, launching a new TV campaign pumping the software, and a new pricing scheme for its subscription service. Microsoft renegotiated its label deals...</summary>
<author>
<name>David Card</name>
<url>http://www.jup.com</url>
<email>dcard@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/">
<![CDATA[<p>Microsoft made a series of moves this week around its Zune device and service, including hardware price cuts ($10 below iPods), a new firmware release with bundled games, launching a new TV campaign pumping the software, and a new pricing scheme for its subscription service. Microsoft renegotiated its label deals so that now, for the same $15 a month, subscribers can keep ten songs a month. That's either a free album or the on-demand service for $5, depending on how you look at it. Everybody <strike>but Sony</strike> is in DRM-free MP3 format. </p>

<p>That's a sweet deal, but will likely appeal primarily to the same digital music aficionado customers who've always had a spot in their hearts for subscription services. Those high-spending, digitally active <a href="http://www.jupiterresearch.com/bin/item.pl/research:concept_print/105/id=100069/">music fans</a> represent about 15% of the US online adult and <a href="http://www.jupiterresearch.com/bin/item.pl/research:concept_print/105/id=100479/">teen </a>population -- around 26 million adults and 3 million teens. About 2-3 million people subscribe currently.</p>

<p>I asked Microsoft if it considered just cutting the price of the service, and execs said, sure, but that wouldn't get over the "rental" hump. I also wondered if the model can be profitable. On-demand music subscriptions can be, if customer acquisition costs are managed, but 99-cent singles are only barely profitable at scale. Microsoft answered that the music biz is all about scraping out a few points of margin from multiple revenue streams. Okay, but subscriptions, niche though they are, are one of the few places where there might be a decent margin for the service and the rights holder. And Microsoft still hasn't done much about advertising revenues.</p>

<p>Microsoft's TV campaign features artists like Common, Afrika Bambaataa, and Kings of Leon and is focused on national cable with a few primetime network spots. Its theme is turning your PC into a music discovery machine, and is a move towards Microsoft's new positioning around "Zune-powered experiences" across multiple "tuners." That is, not just MP3 players, but PCs, phones, Xbox, etc.</p>

<p>UPDATED: Sony BMG is onboard </p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>More on Saving Yahoo</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/archives/2008/11/more_on_saving.html" />
<modified>2008-11-19T18:02:30Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-19T18:02:30Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/card//4.10337</id>
<created>2008-11-19T18:02:30Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">This is about the best quick coverage I&apos;ve seen, courtesy of paidContent. My first take is over at the Forrester blog....</summary>
<author>
<name>David Card</name>
<url>http://www.jup.com</url>
<email>dcard@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/">
<![CDATA[<p>This is about the best quick coverage I've seen, courtesy of <a href="http://www.paidcontent.org/entry/419-ad-industry-react-despite-yang-out-of-the-way-no-quick-fixes-expected-f/">paidContent</a>. My <a href="http://blogs.forrester.com/agencies/2008/11/saving-yahoo.html">first take</a> is over at the Forrester blog.</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Saving Yahoo</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/archives/2008/11/saving_yahoo.html" />
<modified>2008-11-18T16:46:09Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-18T16:46:09Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/card//4.10332</id>
<created>2008-11-18T16:46:09Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">What Yahoo&apos;s new ceo will have to do. Jupiter report forthcoming....</summary>
<author>
<name>David Card</name>
<url>http://www.jup.com</url>
<email>dcard@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/">
<![CDATA[<p>What Yahoo's new ceo will <a href="http://blogs.forrester.com/agencies/2008/11/saving-yahoo.html">have to do</a>. Jupiter report forthcoming.</p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Why Music Can’t Just Be Free: continuing on the debate</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/why_music_cant_2.html" />
<modified>2008-11-17T21:23:57Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-17T21:23:57Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/mulligan//22.10329</id>
<created>2008-11-17T21:23:57Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">My ‘Why Music Can’t Just Be Free’ post has stirred up a hornets nest of debate and comment. As Juupiter’s weblogs don’t enable comments I’ve decided to continue the debate on my other weblog MusicIndustryBlog. My opinions are just that, and Jupiter has always believed that good opinions are shaped...</summary>
<author>
<name>Mark Mulligan</name>

<email>mmulligan@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/">
<![CDATA[<p><a href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/why_music_cant.html">My ‘Why Music Can’t Just Be Free’ post </a>has stirred up a hornets nest of debate and comment.  As Juupiter’s weblogs don’t enable comments I’ve decided to continue the debate on my other weblog <a href="http://musicindustryblog.wordpress.com/">MusicIndustryBlog</a>.  My opinions are just that, and Jupiter has always believed that good opinions are shaped through debate.  So if you want to join the debate join me over there.  For those of you that have sent emails or direct messages via Twitter I will reply to you just as soon as I find time.</p>

<p><em>Note: my colleague Ian Fogg points out that I inferred in my previous post that SourceForge are a developer when they in fact a developer platform.</em></p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Why Music Can&apos;t &apos;Just  Be Free&apos;</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/why_music_cant.html" />
<modified>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/mulligan//22.10324</id>
<created>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">The French music industry body Société civile des Producteurs de Phonogrammes en France (SPPF) is suing four US based developers of P-to-P applications, including the BitTorrent client Vuze, Limewire and Morpheus and Shareaza. (The latter is the one that is stimulating vitriol in the tech blogosphere as it is developed...</summary>
<author>
<name>Mark Mulligan</name>

<email>mmulligan@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/">
<![CDATA[<p>The French music industry body Société civile des Producteurs de Phonogrammes en France (SPPF) is suing four US based developers of P-to-P applications, including the BitTorrent client Vuze, Limewire and Morpheus and Shareaza.  (The latter is the one that is stimulating vitriol in the tech blogosphere as it is developed by open source development platform SourceForge.)</p>

<p>Under newly revised French law the US companies can be tried in the France as their applications have not implemented filtering mechanisms to block out copyrighted material.    </p>

<p>A couple of arguments are being leveled at the SPPF.  The first that these applications aren’t designed for copyright infringement.  It’s not the fault of the developers that they are being used as such.  This argument of course has been since the original Napster trial.  I’m sorry, but it just doesn’t wash.  However much there is legitimate usage, the vast majority of usage is not legitimate.  All the developers need to do is support their claims off innocence by embedding filtering mechanisms into their apps.  If they counter claim that this would restrict the liberty of their users, then they can’t any longer argue that they don’t support illegitimate usage of their technology.</p>

<p>Another argument being aired is that the music industry should stop being so hung up on trying to get paid online, indeed one story eve referred to "the Music Industry's obsession with copyright”.  That’s like saying "the car industry's obsession with cars".  Copyright is the oxygen of the music industry.  Without it there is no industry.  Sure there may be cases for changing some industry practices but copyright remains the essence of making money from music.   </p>

<p>Music cannot just be ‘for free’ anymore than cars or houses can ‘just be for free’.  If people aren’t paid they don’t make the product.  Sure music will still exist, but you’ll swap nicely programmed download stores and well stocked high street stores for buskers and millions upon millions of artist pages, all clamouring for your attention.  Perhaps that sounds appealing?  The problem is, most of them would sound a fraction as good as they would if they’d been able to give up their day jobs and been given proper equipment, studio time, mentoring and artist development support.  And even those that would still manage to sound ok, would struggle to find their way to your PC or mobile screen as they wouldn’t have any marketing support to help them get there.  </p>

<p>I’ll close with an account of how we first ended up with music copyright collection, which says as much to today’s ‘music should be free’ argument as it did then, 150 years ago:</p>

<p>“<a href="http://www.gema.de/en/press/publications/papers/collecting-societies/">In 1847, the composer Ernest Bourget visited the Paris Concert Café Ambassadeurs in the company of his colleague Victor Parizot. At the time, Bourget was a popular composer of chansons and chansonnettes comiques. Among other pieces, the orchestra played the music of Bourget. When the waiter presented the composer with the bill for the sugared water that he and his colleague had consumed as the fashionable luxury drink of the period, Bourget refused to pay claiming that the orchestra had repeatedly played his music - without paying anything: and so [took the] sugared water in return for playing his piece. The dispute between the composer and the owner was brought before the court. On 8th September 1847, the Tribunal de Commerce de la Seine prohibited the owner from playing works of the composer without his consent. The exclusive right of the author to public performances that had been anchored in the French law of 1791 was thus put into practice for the first time. And on 26th April 1849 the Cour d'Appel de Paris sentenced the owner of Ambassadeurs to pay compensation - i.e. in this case royalties - to Bourget.”</a></p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Why Music Can&apos;t &apos;Just  Be Free&apos;</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/archives/2008/11/why_music_cant_1.html" />
<modified>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/mulligan//22.10325</id>
<created>2008-11-17T17:17:25Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">The French music industry body Société civile des Producteurs de Phonogrammes en France (SPPF) is suing four US based developers of P-to-P applications, including the BitTorrent client Vuze, Limewire and Morpheus and Shareaza. (The latter is the one that is stimulating vitriol in the tech blogosphere as it is developed...</summary>
<author>
<name>Mark Mulligan</name>

<email>mmulligan@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/mulligan/">
<![CDATA[<p>The French music industry body Société civile des Producteurs de Phonogrammes en France (SPPF) is suing four US based developers of P-to-P applications, including the BitTorrent client Vuze, Limewire and Morpheus and Shareaza.  (The latter is the one that is stimulating vitriol in the tech blogosphere as it is developed by open source development platform SourceForge.)</p>

<p>Under newly revised French law the US companies can be tried in the France as their applications have not implemented filtering mechanisms to block out copyrighted material.    </p>

<p>A couple of arguments are being leveled at the SPPF.  The first that these applications aren’t designed for copyright infringement.  "It’s not the fault of the developers that they are being used as such".  This argument of course has been used since the original Napster trial.  I’m sorry, but it just doesn’t wash.  However much there is legitimate usage, the vast majority of usage is not legitimate.  All the developers need to do is support their claims off innocence by embedding filtering mechanisms into their apps.  If they counter claim that this would restrict the liberty of their users, then they can’t any longer argue that they don’t support illegitimate usage of their technology.</p>

<p>Another argument being aired is that the music industry should stop being so hung up on trying to get paid online, indeed one story even referred to "the Music Industry's obsession with copyright”.  That’s like saying "the car industry's obsession with cars".  Copyright is the oxygen of the music industry.  Without it there is no industry.  Sure there may be cases for changing some industry practices but copyright remains the essence of making money from music.   </p>

<p>Music cannot just be ‘for free’ anymore than cars or houses can ‘just be for free’.  If people aren’t paid they don’t make the product.  Sure music will still exist, but you’ll swap nicely programmed download stores and well stocked high street stores for buskers and millions upon millions of artist pages, all clamouring for your attention.  Perhaps that sounds appealing?  The problem is, most of them would sound a fraction as good as they would if they’d been able to give up their day jobs and been given proper equipment, studio time, mentoring and artist development support.  And even those that would still manage to sound ok, would struggle to find their way to your PC or mobile screen as they wouldn’t have any marketing support to help them get there.  </p>

<p>I’ll close with an account of how we first ended up with music copyright collection, which says as much to today’s ‘music should be free’ argument as it did then, 150 years ago:</p>

<p>“<a href="http://www.gema.de/en/press/publications/papers/collecting-societies/">In 1847, the composer Ernest Bourget visited the Paris Concert Café Ambassadeurs in the company of his colleague Victor Parizot. At the time, Bourget was a popular composer of chansons and chansonnettes comiques. Among other pieces, the orchestra played the music of Bourget. When the waiter presented the composer with the bill for the sugared water that he and his colleague had consumed as the fashionable luxury drink of the period, Bourget refused to pay claiming that the orchestra had repeatedly played his music - without paying anything: and so [took the] sugared water in return for playing his piece. The dispute between the composer and the owner was brought before the court. On 8th September 1847, the Tribunal de Commerce de la Seine prohibited the owner from playing works of the composer without his consent. The exclusive right of the author to public performances that had been anchored in the French law of 1791 was thus put into practice for the first time. And on 26th April 1849 the Cour d'Appel de Paris sentenced the owner of Ambassadeurs to pay compensation - i.e. in this case royalties - to Bourget.”</a></p>]]>

</content>
</entry>
<entry>
<title>Windows Live Still Undefined, Needs More Two-Way Syndication</title>
<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/archives/2008/11/windows_live_st.html" />
<modified>2008-11-13T15:59:02Z</modified>
<issued>2008-11-13T15:59:02Z</issued>
<id>tag:weblogs.jupiterresearch.com,2008:/analysts/card//4.10320</id>
<created>2008-11-13T15:59:02Z</created>
<summary type="text/plain">What Microsoft calls &quot;Wave 3&quot; of its Windows Live services shows modest steps towards its goals of integrating more social features into what still remains an odd-feeling collection of services. Users can now get a feed experience on their profile that is capable of incorporating activity reports from outside services...</summary>
<author>
<name>David Card</name>
<url>http://www.jup.com</url>
<email>dcard@jupiterresearch.com</email>
</author>
<dc:subject>Media</dc:subject>
<content type="text/html" mode="escaped" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://weblogs.jupiterresearch.com/analysts/card/">
<![CDATA[<p>What Microsoft calls "<a href="http://www.microsoft.com/presspass/press/2008/nov08/11-12WinLiveServicesPR.mspx">Wave 3</a>" of its Windows Live services shows modest steps towards its goals of integrating more social features into what still remains an odd-feeling collection of services. Users can now get a feed experience on their profile that is capable of incorporating activity reports from outside services like Twitter, Flickr, Flixster, Photobucket, iLike, and others. </p>

<p>I'm skeptical of Microsoft's ability to steal away users from MySpace and Facebook -- and Microsoft execs told me that's not the core objective. Rather, they hope to integrate social network features into other established activities. Microsoft's strength is its Hotmail and Messenger customer base, so this makes sense, but MSN feels absent. And though it's the original platform company, in this consumer-facing roll out Microsoft isn't emphasizing APIs and mash-up capabilities</p>

<p>More important, I'd like to see more two-way syndication. Users should be able to get their Hotmail & Messenger updates within Facebook if they want to. Microsoft doesn't lack that vision, but this wave is more about the reverse direction, and of course, the two big social networks are noteworthy by their absence.</p>

<p>All the portals are feeling the threats to their previously dominant online media business model from Google and from the social networks. Neither Microsoft, AOL, nor Yahoo has successfully answered these threats, and each wants to tap into the potential of <strong>real social marketing</strong> (not selling cheap banners on MySpace) and a so-far completely unrealized universal <strong>communications hub</strong>.</p>

<p>Ironically, the portals with their big sales forces, army of developers, and relationships with advertisers and agencies, are in a better position to figure out what the future of social marketing will look like than the social networks are. But MySpace in particular is working on fixing that, even if Facebook threw the bigger dice first with Beacon (they'll get it right, eventually). As for communications hubs, they've always held promise, but there's never been a perceived need for them on the consumer side. Meanwhile, the social networks are rapidly becoming the hubs for a variety of social computing activities, if not e-mail replacements.</p>

<p>Stay tuned, the report's almost done.</p>

<p>Other folks' takes:</p>

<p>Joe Wilcox at <a href="http://www.microsoft-watch.com/content/web_services_browser/windows_live_gets_more_lively.html">Microsoft Watch</a><br />
Mary Jo Foley at <a href="http://blogs.zdnet.com/microsoft/?p=1714">All About Microsoft</a><br />
Kara Swisher at <a href="http://kara.allthingsd.com/20081112/microsoft-officially-facebooks-oops-socializes-windows-live-internet-services/">Boomtown</a></p>]]>

</content>
</entry>

</feed>